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| Where
to Find More of My Articles |
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I still write a lot but ever since I have
become the Mortgage Guru for the wonderful
folks at credit.com
the articles I write for them at at their
website. For that reason, I have been publishing
articles here only intermittently.
Most
of my articles appear in the education section
of the main website.
I
also write a blog that has material that is
a little more timely, and more pointed too.
The most recent blogs are always on the current
front page
You can find all of the blogs
I have written because they are indexed first
by month and then by category. Check out "loans"
here. 
Of
course, the articles below - something like
150 - are still filled with great advice that
is intended to be as relevant now as when
it was written. |
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| Reality
Check - new HUD-1 and Good Faith Estimate Forms
New |
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Our
wonderful government never seems to learn that
one more form, one more procedure, one more
set of rules that are never enforced will somehow
clean up the mortgage industry. The latests
is a stupid revision of the Good Faith Estimate
and HUD-1 CLoins Statement forms. It's
a joke, but you should know what is happening.
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| The
Lone Ranger Rides Again |
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America's
love affair with heros is still alive and well.
I have creceived numerous compliments about
this one. I can pretty well guarantee that you
will like it too.
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|
The
Fed’s New Rules for Mortgage Lenders
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“Government in action” is an oxymoron. Various
agencies and Congress have been fiddling around
with re-regulating the mortgage industry ever
since the crisis became apparent late last summer.
There is little progress to report. We finally
get the Federal Reserve Board, which administers
a small “slice” of the mortgage business, to
do something. They announced some changes to
Regulation Z, the so-called Truth in Lending
regulation.
|
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| The
Rules that Govern Appraisers |
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The
appraisal industry has very strict rules that
assure the quality of appraisals. FannieMae
and FreddieMac do too. You can see their rules
here.
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| What
Really Went Wrong With Subprime |
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As
America has watched from the sidelines for the
last nine months, we have watched the subprime
debacle mushroom from a couple of hedge funds
imploding into a worldwide credit crisis. For
an explanation, click on the button for a humorous
Power Point cartoon.
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|
The Future of Mortgage Rates and the Mortgage
Industry |
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I was quoted in
an article in the Orange County Register  |
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|
Integrity |
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Integrity
is not a word we see all that often these
days, and when we read it in a newspaper article,
we find almost invariably that the writer
is talking about someone's lack of integrity.
Unfortunately, I think the junk mortgage crisis
is due almost completely to a lack of integrity.
|
| Fox
News |
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I was quoted in
an article at Fox News.  |
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| Bloomberg
News |
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I was quoted in
an article at Bloomberg.  |
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|
Risk - Part 1 |
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This is the first
part of a multi-part article in which I will
talk about the crisis in the credit markets.
I think that it is important for users of the
mortgage system to have an understanding of
the system that, ultimately, has a significant
impart on their lives. Ultimately, these markets
are driven by risk or, more to the point, the
avoidance of risk.  |
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| Risk
- Part 2 |
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In the previous
segment I talked about the risks in the sub-prime
– read junk – mortgage market. As foreclosures
mount, the inability to assess the future values
of these loans as led to increased fear, fear
that it could be worse than whatever the last
risk assessment report was.
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| Risk
- Part 3 |
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As
you learned from early segments, there are
two types of risk in this world, real risk
and perceived risk. Of course, most people
never separate the two. In fact, they can
be surrounded by real risk but seem oblivious
to and then, when they perceive that the risk
is real, they go bonkers.  |
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| Risk
- Part 4 |
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Earlier
I talked about no one realizing risk until
something bad happened. The fact is that risk
is all around us. Sometimes, it makes the
papers. Do you remember the Avian Flu crisis
a few years ago? It did kill people who lived
with infected chickens but the scenarios that
spread from that were so bad that people were
afraid to fly on airplanes. Many, many people
cancelled travel plans and those who got on
the planes all wore masks, as if those would
stop an airborne virus.  |
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| Mortgage
Brokers: Friend or Foe? |
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A recurring theme
in my writing is for consumers to find trustworthy
advocates. This article in The Wall Street
Journal is an excellent discussion of the issues.
More to follow on this critically important
topic.  |
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| Bottom
Line/Personal Article |
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Bottom
Line Publications contain a wonderful array
of information. I was invited to contribute
material for an article in Bottom Line/Persona.
You can read it here. 
Like
Consumer Reports, this is one of
those publications to which every household
ought to consider subscribing. You can find
more information about their newsletters here.
|
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| I
was on Internet Radio |
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I
didn't know about Internet radio but it's
great. Obviously it has the ability to serve
and international audience, not just a local
market. I was interviewed about the
current mortgage market by the President of
one of the nation's biggest credit unions.
To hear my 15 minute segment, click here.
|
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| What
is Fair Market Value? |
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In
this day of gyrating housing values, it’s
interesting to think about the concept of
fair market value. It is easier to talk about
in theory than to ascertain what it means
in the real world.  |
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| Opting
–out |
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If
your mailbox is like mine, you get a
lot of offers from credit card companies
to open an account with them. We certainly
get a lot more offers in the mail these
days ever since the telemarketers were
effectively put out of business. How
can these companies find and solicit
us if they can’t call us?  |
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| Soft
Landing or Hard?
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I am always amazed
at what I will call “waves” of interest in all
topics relating to human beings. For a long
time, you saw advertisements for ED, but those
have now been taken over by a huge number of
ads for pills that ill alleviate insomnia, the
current “disease de jour.” I already think that
some ads for prescription medications ought
to be outlawed, and some are surely distasteful
and I wonder, “What’s next?”  |
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| Is
Someone You Know Headed for a Train Wreck?
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There
is a potential train wreck on the financial
horizon, one that’s not on many peoples’ radar.
It’s the coming date when homeowners who have
ARM’s, Adjustable Rate Mortgages of one kind
or another, are going to face payment shock.
Current estimates are that over one trillion
dollars of Option ARMs and 3/1 or 5/1 ARMs done
during period of low interest rates are going
to adjust soon. They will go from the low initial
rate to as high as 8%. That means a huge payment
increases for those borrowers.  |
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| In
Veritas, Vino |
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The
old Latin saying is In Vino Veritas which
means In Wine, Truth. It suggests that when
people have had too much to drink, you’re
more liable to hear the truth. I have a different
take on the topic. I think that when you drink
the right wine, it can create its own truth.
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| Jump$tart
Update New! |
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A number of you
who took the test wrote me. All of you
had scored over 90%. Of course, I think about
the type of people who might read these pages
and that's what I would expect. So, how
do we reach and start educating the people who
WOULD HAVE scored 53% if they'd take it today? |
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| Jump$tart
|
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One
of my clients is a now-retired High
School math teacher. He bemoans the
fact that when the students got to him
in 11th grade, they simply were not
prepared mathematically for the real
world. They were barely able to balance
a checkbook, a process using addition
and subtraction skills that they should
have mastered in about the 4th grade.
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| Mortgage
Myths - Part 2
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This
is part two of mortgage myths, part of EVERYTHING
YOU THINK YOU KNOW ABOUT MORTGAGES IS WRONG.
Most people think that the objective of refinancing
is to lower your payment. Not so. In fact,
this mindset gets a lot of people into trouble,
causing them to make wrong - and expensive
- decisions.
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| Mortgage
Myths - Part 1 |
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EVERYTHING
YOU THINK YOU KNOW ABOUT MORTGAGES IS WRONG.
Most peoples’ belief structures about mortgages
are based on truisms that may have been valid
for your parents 20 or 30 years ago. Others
beliefs are factoids, things that appear to
be true but really are ideas planted by mortgage
industry marketing propaganda. Let me give you
some simple examples of popular folklore:
|
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| Los
Angeles Times Special!
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I got a nice mention
in an article in my home town newspaper.
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| Disaggregation
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This
is a new term, one that is creeping into our
language. It is an interesting concept because
it is at the heart of a number of issues facing
our world today. It certainly has application
in the real estate finance business.
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| Shopping
Revisited |
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If
there is one maxim that potential homebuyers
have heard over and over it is that they should
shop for a mortgage. People grow up learning
how to shop "the American way" which is to
compare the prices of almost identical goods.
The problem is that mortgage shopping is completely
different than shopping for, say, a DVD player.
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| A
Call to ARMs |
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There
is an inescapable iceberg on the horizon,
the coming date when millions of homeowners
who have ARMs of one kind or another are going
to face payment shock. 3/1 or 5/1 or 7/1 ARMs
done during period of low interest rates are
going to adjust from the current rate, say
4% or 5% to index plus margin. That means
a big payment increase for all of them.
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| A
Call to ARMs - Part 2 |
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Last week we
discussed the large number of 3/1, 5/1, and
7/1 ARMs that are about to adjust from the initial
low rate to something in the 7% range. There
is another large category of other adjustable
that are already at or about to go to 7% too,
and they are potentially more dangerous that
the ones we discussed last week.  |
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| What
Hath God Wrought? |
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As
you know from reading my articles, I am interested
in how people gather and process information.
Inexorably intertwined with this is the means
by which information is transmitted and received.
In that regard, this past week we passed though
a milestone of sorts, one that might interest
you. Western Union discontinued commercial
telegram service.
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| Go
to the Right People |
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I
recently heard an ad from a large mutual fund
company that talked about need to go to the
right people. Variously, they extolled the
virtue of a personal trainer, a dog trainer,
a neighborhood auto mechanic, a masseuse,
a travel agent, and an accountant. I wish
they'd said real estate agent and lender too.
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| Finance
at Time of Purchase? |
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My
new clients were in the process of buying
a new condo. Their kids were successfully
launched (Yeah!!!) so they were selling their
large family home and buying a smaller home
consistent with their new lifestyle. They
had plenty of equity and were wondering about
just paying cash for the home, leaving open
the possibility of refinancing it at some
later date. That choice turns out to have
significant implications.
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| What
is Really Important? |
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The
most significant trend I have seen in my business
career is that as companies have merged and
businesses have gotten bigger, the less they
care about people. They care less about their
employees, less about their shareholders,
and certainly less about their customers.
I actually don't think that is good for the
bottom line, and it sure makes life less fun.
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| Mortgage
Fraud 1 |
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I
read an article a week in the daily
newspapers and in industry publications
describing how one more group of crooks
have been caught perpetrating mortgage
fraud and are going to jail. The stories
demonstrate one thing, that mortgage
fraud is alive and well. It’s growing
too, up 500% in the past few years according
to the FBI.  |
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For articles on
two examples of fraud, check out
and  |
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|
FICO
- Blessing or Curse? |
|
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As you probably
know, FICO credit scores are well entrenched
in the mortgage industry. The lower your score,
the less likely you are to be approved, and
the more likely you are to pay a higher interest
rate. Understanding FICO scores is critically
important to you.
|
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| Good
Year-End News for Homebuyers |
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There
is good news on the housing front for
aspiring homebuyers in many markets
across the country. This news is different
from what has been making the headlines
during the past couple of years, all
those articles saying that no one can
afford a home today.  |
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| End
of Option ARMs? |
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Last
week I found an ally. John C. Dugan is head
of the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency,
a government body that regulates much of the
banking industry. His office has the ability
to make a rule and make it stick. Hooray!
|
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|
| Bait
and Switch |
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Unfortunately,
the success of a large segment of my industry
is based upon deception. Bait and switch tactics
are common among this group. These companies
teach their agents how to deceive, so I'll
teach you how to protect yourself.
 |
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| I'll
Believe That When I See It |
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I'm sure that
you remember this old saying from some skeptic.
For most people seeing is a validation of an
assertion. When they see it, they believe what
their eyes tell them and the assertion becomes
truth. Ah, if life were only that easy!  |
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| How
to Protect Yourself |
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At my company
we take great pains to tell our clients what
is going to happen early in the process so there
will be no surprises. I believe that a fundamental
obligation of lenders is to give people truthful
answers to their questions and accurate information
they can rely upon to make decisions. Sadly,
those can be hard to get.  |
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|
| Problems!
|
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In spite of little
bumps in the road that occur during the inspection,
loan approval, and closing process, most real
estate transactions end up closing. Sometimes,
however, the problems are of such magnitude
that deal should NOT close.  |
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|
| The
Tooth Fairy |
| |
A
study by FreddieMac, one of the quasi-governmental
agencies that buy residential mortgages, shows
that about one in five sub-prime borrowers
would actually have qualified for a loan at
A-paper rates had his lender tried to get
one. This is pretty scary.
|
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|
It's Going on Everywhere! |
| |
I
have just returned from a vacation in England
and Scotland . It was a great holiday. I've
spent quite a bit of time in Britain , but
this was our first trip to the Lake District
and the Highlands of Scotland . The scenery
was spectacular and the people warm and welcoming.
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|
| Addiction
and The Current Substance of Choice
|
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I
was talking with a friend the other day and
the topic of substance abuse came up. He responded
how that has changed in our upwardly mobile
society. In the old days the substance of
choice was alcohol. As drugs became popular,
it was marijuana, then cocaine, then who knows.
We talked about addiction today and we concluded
that the current substance of choice is raiding
home equity.
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| The
Katrina Aftermath - Part 2 - The Renaissance
|
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After most natural
disasters, 90 percent of the people move back
home and start re-building. I made the case
last week that it might be best for many of
the displaced to keep on going. If that is to
be so, what happens to New Orleans ? Who should
come back?
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| The
Katrina Aftermath - Part 1 - The Diaspora
|
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I always loved
New Orleans. I have made four trips there, including
three Thanksgiving Week vacations. Along with
the rest of America I weep for the victims who
are alive, for the families who have lost members,
and for future victims as this tragic tale unfolds.
 |
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| Orange
County Register New! |
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I got a nice mention
in an article in my home town newspaper.  |
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| What
Doth the Future Hold? |
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Last week I talked
about the transformation of the American economy
into one that is consumer based, meaning that
much of the health and growth in the economy
comes from consumer spending. We also discussed
the fantastic expansion of the credit industry
that allows people to gratify even the most
whimsical desire.
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| What
Do You Do With All the Stuff? |
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Early in my business
career in the early 1960's the United States
passed through a barrier, although it was scarcely
noticed at the time. That barrier was one where
supply and demand became imbalanced. There were
a lot more things available than there were
people to buy them. What were we to do with
all this excess stuff?
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| What
is Reasonable Compensation? |
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The Department
of Housing and Urban Development's pronouncement
on mortgage broker compensation is that it ought
to be reasonably related to the work required
to get the loan. That is a definition broad
enough to drive a truck through, so it's not
much use.
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| How
Others Can Affect Your Preception of Reality
|
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As you know,
one of my favorite topics is decision-making,
how people gather information, process it, and
make decisions. One of the most interesting
articles I have read recently appeared in the
New York Times. It recalled research done 50
years ago by noted psychologist Solomon Asch
whose studies showed that people's perception
of reality can be influenced by pressure to
conform socially.
|
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|
Why
Do I Have to Pay for This? |
| |
Americans love
things that are free, or appear to be. Yet my
experience in over 40 years in business is that
companies never give things away. There's always
a cost somewhere, sometime. The latest of these
"free" gimmicks involves the mortgage industry.
One lender's TV ad's say, "We don't think you
should have to pay to borrow money."
|
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| Success
Story from the Trenches |
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I hear a lot
of tales of woe from readers so it is always
a great pleasure to hear about someone's success.
I got such a story from Eric who told me of
his successful foray to the mortgage forest!
|
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| What
Are Consumers Thinking? |
| |
You'd think that
someone with an MBA in Marketing, with forty
years of business experience, who had written
a couple of books, who had dealt with over 4,000
clients would begin to understand what consumers
are thinking. But many times I don't have a
clue!
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|
| Cost/Benefit
Analysis |
| |
Sometimes you
have to wonder about how people make decisions.
Mostly it's a matter of satisfying a "want."
As in, "I want a new DVD player." "I want a
new car." "I want to go to a bar and get drunk
on Saturday night." "I want to buy a lottery
ticket."
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|
| Betting
the Farm |
| |
In
past articles I have warned about the dangers
awaiting consumers who got suckered into low
payment mortgages. The signs have not gotten
any better. In fact, they seem to have gotten
even worse.
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| Manage
Me!!!!!! |
| |
Last week I discussed
the trait that we share with Nobel Prize winning
economists - we don't manage our money all that
well. Even if we have gotten good results due
to a rising market, most people admit to me
that they don't spend nearly enough time at
managing their 401(k) or wherever their bulk
of their funds are located.
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| How
Well Do Nobel Prize Winners Do?
|
| |
There is a lot
of discussion going on about allowing people
to divert a portion of their Social Security
funds into privately managed accounts. As I
have my doubts about the wisdom of this, I was
intrigued to read an article in the Los Angeles
Times that reported on the investment practices
of winners of the Nobel Prize for Economics.
 |
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|
| Forbes
|
| |
I was quoted in
a recent article in Forbes
magazine. To see the full article, click
here.  |
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|
| Shopping
for Closing Costs - Part 1 |
| |
As I read the
national print media, I see that there is a
lot more attention being paid to closing costs.
Almost invariably closing costs are viewed as
negative and, while they open the door for abuse,
I think that a lot of the worry is misdirected.
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| Shopping
for Closing Costs - Part 2 |
| |
Last week we discussed
some of the closing costs that are a part of
virtually every lender's offerings. While many
pundits think that these are horrible and recommend
trying to negotiate to make them go away, I
have never seen it happen, and I don't think
that you'll be successful either.  |
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|
| Who
Wins? Who Loses? |
| |
There has been
a lot of news lately about the increases in
housing prices in the last few years. In my
area, the rate at which values are rising has
slowed a bit, but they are still increasing
at a good clip. So who wins and who loses in
this game?
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|
| |
To see statistics
about home values in your state, click here.
|
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|
| ADVisor
or ADVersary? |
| |
These
words are almost the same, but what a difference
there is between them. In determining which
people you want to work with in buying real
estate business and in arranging financing,
it is especially important to know which they
are. Most want you to think of them as advisors,
but their actions can be adverse to your interests.
|
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|
| Agency
- Part 2 |
| |
Last
week I discussed agency as it applies to real
estate agents. Now I'd like to talk about
agency as it applies to the mortgage brokers.
|
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|
| Agency
- Part 1 |
| |
I was recently
interviewed by a reporter for a major national
magazine. She was writing an article about mortgage
brokers and how a consumer should shop for one.
As you know, this is one of my favorite topics
so I was delighted to share a few thoughts with
her.
|
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|
| Delayed
Gratification |
| |
I really miss
Gary Larson and his wonderfully irreverent cartoons.
One of my favorite showed a lifeboat full of
dogs, their ship sinking in the background.
The dog in charge was asking, “We have enough
food for 14 days. Who is in favor of rationing
it out, and who is in favor of eating it all
now?”
|
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|
| Oxytocin
and You |
| |
I read an interesting
story last week about the new field of neuroeconomics.
Scientists are trying to understand what happens
in people’s brains as they make economic decisions.
|
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|
| Cheapskate
|
| |
Last
week I had one of the more amazing conversations
in my career. A prospect wanted to refinance
a home that now belongs to his parents, and
he wants to transfer it to his name and get
a mortgage. There are some interesting issues
here. 
|
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|
| Be
Careful! Be Very Careful! |
| |
I received a call
last week from a friend who was looking for
a home. She had fallen in love with a property
she had seen at an open house and wanted to
make an offer on it. I can and do act as a real
estate agent for people from time to time so
I went to get the details on the property. It
turns out it wasn't listed on the local MLS,
the Multiple Listing Service. The plot was thickening!
 |
| |
|
Mortgage
Marketing Update |
| |
I was engaged
in one of my all too frequent visits to my pharmacist
when he asked me why he was getting so many
mortgage flyers in the mail. I have noticed
this too, so I did a little more research which
I hope you find interesting.
|
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|
| Disclosure
|
| |
If knowledge is
power, ignorance is usually expensive. The real
estate/mortgage process is confusing to most
people, not because it’s all that complicated,
it’s just that there are so many details that
the average person is just not familiar with. |
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|
| Doctor
No |
| |
A common saying
at mortgage lending companies is, “We don’t
get paid unless we fund your loan.” That is
supposed to make you feel good, but in fact,
what they really are thinking is, “I’m not going
to approve your loan if I think it means losing
my job."  |
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|
| Things
Aren’t Always What They Appear to Be |
| |
I'm sure many
of you watched the Super Bowl and enjoyed Paul
McCartney during halftime. That show was sponsored
by Ameriquest Mortgage, a company specializing
in loans to borrowers with less-than-perfect
credit.
|
| |
|
What
Are You Afraid Of? |
| |
While
I was on my morning walk with my wife today
we passed an older lady who was carrying what
looked like a baton like the ones the girls
twirl at a football game. Jokingly, I asked
her if she was taking baton twirling lessons,
but she said, “No, this is for self-defense!”
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|
| Mortgage Shopping Traps
|
| |
Dictionary.com
defines shopping as “To go from store to store
in search of merchandise or bargains.” These
days no matter what you want to buy whether
it’s a new digital camera or TV or laundry detergent,
there are ten or twenty different makers selling
competing products with characteristics that
make them almost identical in features and price.
|
| |
|
| Ethics |
| |
A real estate
agent got quite angry at my recent article about
stonewalling. The direct quote was, “lying is
not an ethical way to handle other problems.
I am not going to waste my time with people
who encourage people to lie to their agents.”
This is a valid comment and, therefore, I feel
that it deserves some further discussion.
|
| |
|
| Be Careful What You Wish For
|
| |
The
old adage goes: Be careful what you wish for,
you may get it! This has some relevance to the
housing market today and I’ll share my concern
with you. I’ve been in the mortgage business
for over twenty-five years and I have never
seen money as easy to get as it is today.
|
| |
|
| Stonewall |
| |
No, I don’t mean
Stonewall Jackson, although you should read
a comment about him at the end of this article.
I am referring to a negotiating strategy.
|
| |
|
| Whoa!
Where are the Brakes? |
| |
For many years
the mortgage industry has acted as a brake on
the housing sales business. There are usually
more buyers than properties and someone needed
to weed out those who would not be able to make
the payments. That was us.
|
| |
|
| Whoa!
Where are the Brakes? - Part 2 |
| |
Last week I talked
about the lack of brakes on the housing industry
that has normally been provided by the mortgage
lending community. Let’s talk about the big
picture first.
|
| |
|
| Watch
Out! |
| |
I just received
a note from a young man who has begun working
for a mortgage company. I will quote directly
from his letter to me, only changing the name
of his company.
|
| |
|
| Title
Traps |
| |
About
ten years ago I did a loan for a retired teacher
friend of mine. He wanted use the money to
build a “Granny Unit” (Well, I guess this
one was a Grandpa Unit!) over the garage.
His son was moving back to town and was going
to live in the main house with his wife. Actually,
it’s nice to think of multi-generational houses
in this day and age, but this story does not
have as happy an ending as could have been
the case.
|
| |
|
| Credit
Issues |
| |
The mortgage industry
has been telling people for years that they
ought to do routine check-ups of their reports
on a regular basis, like annually. Happily,
I am finding a higher percentage of people who
come to my office having done so, but certainly
not all of them. Of course, of those who don’t
check, many have problems.
|
| |
|
Homebuyer
Mistakes – Part 1 |
| |
The biggest mistake
that potential homebuyers make is to assume
that they can’t buy a home, that there are barriers
they cannot overcome. There are some for whom
this is true, but there are many people for
whom those barriers are imaginary.  |
| |
|
| Homebuyer
Mistakes – Part 2 |
| |
Last week I hoped
to give some encouragement to those who might
feel frozen out of the housing market. This
week, I’d like to discuss a problem that affects
people who are actively in the market for a
home.  |
| |
|
| Homebuyer
Mistakes – Part 3 |
| |
In choosing a
real estate agent it is important to understand
who represents whom. Last week I talked about
the importance of making sure that you work
with a Buyer’s Agent, one who represents you
in the transaction, rather than the seller.
But there is another common kind of agent: one
who works primarily for him or herself.  |
| |
|
Mortgage
Marketing |
| |
The mortgage
business had two record volume years in a row.
Low rates fueled record housing sales and on
top of that, a record number of homeowners refinanced.
At this point, however, mortgage originations
are off between 30 percent and 40 percent and
the industry is struggling.  |
| |
|
| One-Stop Shopping |
| |
Major forces
in the industry keep trying to convince Congress
that consumers want one-stop shopping for all
real estate services when they buy a home. I’ve
met thousands of those consumers and the ones
I know are more interested in getting the best
combination of service and price and don’t seem
to give a hoot about one-stop shopping.
 |
| |
|
| One-Stop Shopping - Part 2
|
| |
If
I didn’t scare you last week with my description
of what goes on between related entities in
the real estate business, I’ll have another
run at it. We talked mostly about transactions
in the re-sale market, the sale of previously
owned homes. Today we’ll talk about homebuilders
and their related mortgage entities.
|
| |
|
| One-Stop Shopping - Part 3
|
| |
You will remember
that last week I said that the reason the homebuilders
are so eager to give you money is that they
are not really giving away their money. They
are probably giving you back your own money.
|
| |
|
| Here, piggy, piggy!
|
| |
In mortgage
industry parlance a piggyback transaction
is when you get both a first Trust Deed
(TD) or mortgage loan and a second loan
at the same time to finance the purchase
of a home. We do a lot of these because
it is a mechanism whereby you can avoid
paying Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI)
on loans where you put down less than
20 percent.  |
|
| |
|
| Get the Best!
|
| |
Did
you ever wonder how people with medical problems
always tell you that their doctor is the best
one in the city (or the county or the state?)
There may be 100 doctors specializing in their
area of need. How could they have possibly
found the best one out of those 100?
|
| |
|
| Refinance? Again? |
| |
You probably
don’t remember The Man in the White Suit,
a 1951 film. I remember only because I’m an
Alec Guinness fan. In this film Sir Alec plays
a scientist who invents a cloth that doesn’t
wear out and doesn’t require cleaning. Sounds
great, doesn’t it?
|
| |
|
| Getting to Yes! |
| |
Someone once
said that negotiating is the art of “Getting
to Yes.” It's also the single most important
part of the mortgage business. “Yes, your loan
is approved,” is about a light-year ahead of,
“Your loan is denied.”
|
| |
|
| Goldilocks |
| |
We all know this
story, perhaps better than any other fairy tale.
When Goldilocks tasted the porridge, one was
too hot, one was too cold, and one was just
right. What Goldilocks was seeking was a comfort
level. So should you. |
| |
|
| Able Seaman |
| |
I
am a big fan of Patrick O’Brian’s series of
books about the British Navy set in the Napoleonic
era. I read every single book of the 19 in
the series and was delighted when the deservedly
popular movie Master and Commander,
based upon episodes from these books, was
released last year. I saw it on the first
day!
This
actually has something to do with real estate!
Read on.
|
| |
|
| It's
Magic! |
| |
I
love magic shows. Not only did I actually
know the legendary Harry Blackstone, he even
used me on stage for a trick once. I have
seen David Copperfield’s show and on a trip
to Las Vegas a few years ago I was able to
see Siegfried and Roy. Absolutely enchanting!
 |
| |
|
| Cycle
|
| |
It
seems to me that people have a tough time
digesting the concept of cycles. I love this
quote from Shakespeare’s Julius Caesar.
There
is a tide in the affairs of men
Which taken at the flood, leads on
to fortune. 
|
| |
|
Absolutely
Revolutionary New Product! |
| |
I
admit to being a gadget guy. I love to read
magazines at the barber shop and see all the
new things that companies have invented. I’m
a fly-fisherman, too, and people even make
fun of the vests we wear to hold all of our
gadgets. None of these gadgets is revolutionary,
just something that makes some task a little
easier.
This
new discovery I’m about to tell you about,
however, has the potential, and I’m not kidding
here, of revolutionizing the American economy.
 |
| |
|
| Double,
Double Toil and Trouble, Do We Really Have a
Bubble? |
| |
With apologies
to Shakespeare, this is a good question these
days. A bubble has traditionally been defined
as a situation where the price of an object
rises because of an expectation that it will
keep rising, not because the rise is based upon
fundamental economic factors. The “tulip craze”
was such a phenomenon in early 17th Century
Holland .
|
| |
|
| Uncommon
Work Yields Uncommon Results |
| |
As
those of you who have read my books know,
I really like aphorisms, those little sayings
my dictionary defines as “A tersely phrased
statement of a truth.” One of my favorites,
attributed to many authors, is this one: “The
harder I work, the luckier I get.”
 |
| |
|
| Do
You Have Enough Money |
| |
A little known
study by the Federal Reserve Board is of interest
to me and you. The Survey of Consumer Finances
collects economic data on the financial situations
of households like yours and mine. The 2004
survey is underway now the 2001 survey report
has been published. It contains some interesting
data. |
| |
|
A
Philosophical Look at Mortgages |
| |
"A Mortgage Casts
a Shadow on The Sunniest Field" is a quote attributed
to Robert Green Ingersoll. That’s not a name
that leaps out at you, but in the late 19 th
century he was one of the foremost political
orators of his day. Of course, he said this
in a world where families typically homesteaded
their land, carving farms out of the woods or
prairie. Does this saying have relevance for
us today? |
| |
|
| Endorsements
|
| |
I
have to acknowledge that I have never understood
celebrity or athlete endorsements of consumer
products. Wheaties is almost as
well-known by its second name, Breakfast
of Champions, and has also always carried
endorsements by well-known athletes, champions
every one. That’s been true for as long as
I can remember, and that goes back almost
to WWII. Did I ever eat Wheaties?
You bet, but not because I thought it was
going to turn me into a Decathlon champion.
|
| |
|
| Courage |
| |
I
was chatting with a fellow mortgage originator
yesterday and the conversation turned to one
of our favorite topics – borrower behavior.
His question was, “What don’t people have
the courage to ask important questions? Why
do they only ask stupid questions?”
|
| |
|
Choices,
Choices, Choices |
| |
I
recently read a very interesting article entitled
“The Tyranny of Choice” by Barry Schwartz
in the April 2004 issue of Scientific
American . He says, “Logic suggests that
having options allows people to select precisely
what makes them happiest. But, as studies
show, abundant choice often makes for misery.”
|
| |
|
10
Mistakes Borrowers Make |
| |
I don’t think
that the idea of the 10-best list started with
Johnny Carson, but he might have perfected it.
|
| |
|
Are
Consumers Getting What They Deserve? |
| |
An old maxim says
that people get what they deserve and I’m not
going to argue with it. The mortgage business
probably holds most of the records for consumer
unfriendliness and I wonder if there is a correlation
here. Do mortgage shoppers get what they deserve?
Is that why they are unhappy? |
| |
|
| Thanks,
Alan! - Part 2! |
| |
Last week, we
discussed Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan’s observation
as to the gazillions of dollars that could have
been saved by homeowners had they chosen ARMs
in the last ten years instead of fixed rate
loans. How do you figure out which choice is
right for you? |
| |
|
| Thanks,
Alan! |
| |
Ever since they
were introduced in the early1980’s I have been
a big proponent of Adjustable Rate Mortgages.
Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan has just come out
and said that he agrees with me.
|
| |
|
| How
Much is Too Much? – Part 2 |
| |
Last week I started
a discussion of qualifying for a mortgage. The
qualifying process is basically one that draws
a line between loans that will be approved and
those that will be denied. These old rules were
strict enough that they restricted the number
of homebuyers coming into the system. You can't
rely on this any more.
|
| |
|
| How
Much is Too Much? – Part 1
|
| |
For most of my
career the rules for qualifying for a mortgage
were pretty strict. People frequently seemed
to want more house than our industry was prepared
to finance, which is one of the main reasons
why getting a mortgage was difficult. It wasn’t
that they weren’t qualified; it’s just that
they weren’t qualified for the more expensive
home they wanted.  |
| |
|
| Hamburger
Flippers |
| |
I
recently visited with a fellow whose company
develops mortgage origination software. Their
contact at their client, a large bank, told
them their objective was to create “a processing
system that is so simple that hamburger flippers
can originate loans.”  |
| |
|
| For
Best Results |
| |
An old adage says,
“When all else fails, read the instruction manual.”
That’s certainly true. If you are trying to
bake a cake, follow the recipe and you’ll get
the best results. If you are trying to assemble
a child’s toy, you’ll get the best results if
you follow the assembly instructions. But you’d
think that some things are so easy that you
wouldn’t need instructions. Not so!  |
| |
|
| Victory!
|
| |
I
do not like paperwork. I know this sounds
funny for a guy who buys about 8,000 sheets
of copy paper every month, but I’m not in this
business because I like that part of it. I’m
in it because we always achieve victory at the
end of the process, and I am into victory in
a big way!
|
| |
|
Where
Have All the Sellers Gone? |
| |
There
is an interesting anomaly in the real estate
market. In spite of record sales last year,
currently there are not many homes for sale
in many areas of the country. Most of my
direct experience is from California , of
course, but I am getting similar reports from
all over the country. Bottom line, buyers
don’t have much to choose from.
|
| |
|
Information,
Please! |
| |
In
the 1940’s a radio program called Information
Please was quite popular. People
would send in questions to be asked of an expert
panel.
|
| |
|
| Do-it-Yourself
|
| |
Fifty
years ago almost no one did home improvements
himself. They called a contractor. But in
the 1950’s, suppliers to the housing industry
started making things that a homeowner could
install himself.  |
| |
|
Financing
a Remodel |
| |
This is the season
when many people think about re-modeling their
homes. Every home gets a year older every year.
And just like you, a little cosmetic work
is called for. But every once in a while more
serious work is required.
|
| |
|
| Condos
– Part 1 - Pluses |
| |
It is
obvious to many that condos have filled a
very important spot in the real estate landscape.
With the cost of land in many urban and suburban
areas accelerating at such a rapid pace for
so many years, the cost of building a single
family, detached home on its own lot has simply
gotten beyond the reach of many potential
homebuyers.  |
| |
|
Condos
- Part 2 - Minuses |
| |
Part
of the value of a condo lies in the value of
the common area beyond the physical space occupied
by the owner. There are significant issues here
because control of the total property is beyond
the reach of the individual homeowner.
|
| |
|
Condos
– Part 3 - Financing |
| |
In
the final part of this series, I want to discuss
financing of condos. Remember my comment
that a portion of the “value” you are buying
consists of the value of the common area beyond
the individual unit you will occupy.
|
| |
|
| Boot
Camp
|
| |
I
get a kick out of an ad currently running on
TV. It shows a bunch of people at Computer Purchasing
Boot Camp. The Drill Instructor marches the
people around, yelling at them, telling them
that when they get through, they won’t get ripped
off when buying a computer.
|
| |
|
'
Tis the Season to be Jolly, and More |
| |
It’s
also the season to buy a home!  |
| |
|
| Warning
Label |
| |
It
seems as if many products that you pick up
these days have warning labels on the package.
Compared with the old days, this is a great
thing as there are a lot of products that
can be dangerous under certain circumstances.
In the old days, you never saw these and
people got hurt because they didn’t know what
they were doing with the product.
|
| |
|
Aren't
They Smart Enough to . . . . . .
|
| |
I wish I had
a nickel for every time I’ve heard that one.
Sometimes it’s after a lender has asked for
more documentation. Other times it’s after
they denied a loan for some idiotic reason.
Whatever the reason, it is important to understand
that getting a loan isn’t about a lender being
smart or not being smart, it’s about rules.
|
| |
|
| Truth
or Consequences
|
| |
When
I was growing up, in my family I learned that
you didn’t tell a lie. I’m not sure what the
consequences were; I didn’t even want to find
out. It’s just that we were taught to tell the
truth and we didn’t even consider the alternative.
|
| |
|
|
Does That Make Sense?
|
| |
I
have long, involved conversations with people
who are buying a home. After all, buying
a home is a huge financial commitment and
the difference between various choices can
be significant. This puts a premium on making
smart decisions.
|
| |
|
| Not
Much To Cheer About – Part 2
|
| |
In
last week’s article I discussed the implications
and problems associated with HUD’s new rules.
I mentioned that the fees are not the issue,
it’s the dishonest lenders and mortgage brokers
who are the source of the problems.
|
| |
|
Not
Much To Cheer About – Part 1 |
| |
Under
the headline The Mortgage-Closing Nightmare
a major newspaper wrote an editorial praising
the revisions to the closing process contemplated
by the Department of Housing and Urban Development
(HUD) and suggested that consumers had something
to cheer about. Not!
|
| |
|
| Feeling
Frozen Out of the Market?
|
| |
For
the last two years housing has been one of the
few bright spots in an economy that has had
trouble finding good news. Housing activity
continues at a hot pace.  |
| |
|
| Who
is the Expert Anyhow? |
| |
I
almost had a client the other day, a dentist.
We had talked a few times but had not ever gotten
down to the nitty-gritty, setting goals. It’s
the most important thing I do, the same thing
a financial planner does before you start buying
investments.
|
| |
|
Yield
Spread Premiums - Part 1 |
| |
Most
salesmen know more about the products they are
selling and their usefulness than the people
they are selling to. Their job is to explain
how a product or service might benefit a customer .
|
| |
|
Yield
Spread Premiums - Part 2 |
| |
In
the last article I discussed what Yield Spread
Premiums are and how they are utilized to
offset some or all of the costs of getting
a mortgage.
|
| |
|
| Points
– To Pay or Not to Pay: That is the Question
- Part 2 |
| |
In
the last article, I showed that lenders offer
many rate-versus-fee alternatives, not just
the one you are likely to be quoted. Anyone
who is going to be in the home for a long period
of time – not all, but lots of people – paying
points is a terrific opportunity to save money.
In fact, I look at it as the only good thing
about the process.  |
| |
|
| Points
– To Pay or Not to Pay: That is the Question
- Part 1 |
| |
I
can think of no single issue on which borrowers
are more confused about than paying points.
|
| |
|
| Is
the Party Over? |
| |
Regular
readers of this column will recall that on a
number of times I have called predicting interest
rates a “most dangerous profession.” In the
last six weeks we have been through the most
dramatic increase in long-term interest rates
in almost twenty years.
|
| |
|
| The
Loan du Jour |
| |
Many
restaurants have a Soup du Jour. Regular customers
want to something new on the menu so it’s a
nice way to pique their interest, even if they
expect clam chowder on Friday. The mortgage
industry seems to do the same thing, coming
up with something different at regular intervals.
|
| |
| What
Happens When the Fed Lowers Rates? – Part 3
|
| |
In
the last two articles we dispelled any notion
that what the Fed has done recently or might
do in the near future has an impact on mortgage
rates. In this final article, we’ll discuss
things that affect the bond market and thus
affect the course of interest rates in the future. |
| |
What
Happens When the Fed Lowers Rates? – Part
2 |
| |
Last
week I discussed the dangers of predicting
mortgage rates. I labeled as a misconception
the belief that many people hold, that the
Alan Greenspan and the Federal Reserve control
mortgage rates. In this article we’ll get
a little more specific and review the interest
rate data for the past few years to demonstrate
that.
|
| |
What
Happens When the Fed Lowers Rates? – Part
1
|
| |
In
terms of success versus failure I can think
of no more dangerous profession than predicting
interest rates. Millions of professionals don’t
seem to be able to do it successfully, yet it
has always amazed me that homeowners with zero
financial experience consider themselves endowed
with the ability to predict interest rates.  |
| |
| Doing
the Math - Part 1 |
| |
To
most people, the mathematics of mortgages
is simply overwhelming. Lacking more sophisticated
financial tools, they are frequently left
with only the ability to compare monthly payments.
 |
| |
|
| Doing
the Math - Part 2 |
| |
In
this article I’ll show you how you can parlay
a $20 investment into almost $50,000 by using
a calculator to make more precise answers and
make decision-making more efficient. Now, before
you say, “No way,” let’s do the math.
|
| |
| Mortgage
Triage
|
| |
The medical folks use the world triage (pronounced
tree-azh) to describe the process where medical
workers separate accident victims into groups
depending upon their needs.
 |
| |
Cut
Out The Middleman |
| |
In
addition to “I Can Get For You Wholesale,”
and “Buy Factory Direct,” American shoppers
love to hear about ways to “Cut Out The Middleman.”
 |
| |
| Cost
vs. Value – Part 1 |
| |
I
received an e-mail this week from a mortgage
shopper, inquiring as to my fees and other costs
of a loan. He was completely missing the point,
but he was just doing what our economy has trained
people to do.
|
| |
Cost
vs. Value – Part 2 |
| |
We
recently discussed the propensity of the American
shopper to concentrate on initial costs instead
of the total cost over a long period of time,
perhaps the lifetime of the product.  |
| |
| Noise |
| |
Communication
engineers refer to the Signal-to-Noise Ratio,
shortened to S/N, when working with data transmission.  |
| |
| How
Much is Your Thing? |
| |
The
way I look at the mortgage market exactly 50
percent of mortgage shoppers get a deal that
is worse than average.  |
| |
| Refinancing
- Part 1 - Should I Refinance Now? |
| |
Most
people have a tough time coming up with the
answer to this question. Even those
for whom the facts are compelling in favor
of doing so often have trouble figuring out
whether it's worth it.  |
| |
Refinancing
– Part 2 – The Refinance Trap
|
| |
When
they refinance, most people concentrate on
dropping their monthly payment. But they pass
up the opportunity to save tens of thousands
of dollars
|
| |
| Refinancing
- Part 3 – Cash out and Debt Consolidation
|
| |
Americans
are tapping the equity in their homes in
record numbers these days. This is a result,
in part, of the high equity that has built
up in the highly heated residential real
estate market.
|
| |
| Is There a Housing Bubble?
|
| |
“What is going to happen to the value of my home?”
That is the question on the minds of homeowners
these days  |
| |
|
| Why FICO Scores are Important |
| |
A few years ago the
mortgage industry discovered a new tool -
credit scoring. Fair, Isaac and Company,
FICO for short, had developed credit models
for the credit card industry.
 |
| |
|
| How Your FICO Score Is Determined |
| |
Do you
think that good credit will help you get a
loan? WRONG! It’s actually the absence
of bad credit that gets you the loan.  |
| |
|
| How to Improve Your FICO Score |
| |
You don't
need to pay a service to improve your scores.
In this article, we’ll talk about some immediate
steps you can take to improve your score. |
| |
|
|
| Why do they need to do an appraisal? – Part 1 |
| |
This is a common question among homebuyers.
They figure that they have been pretty shrewd
in making their offer and negotiating a realistic
price with the seller, so why is an appraisal
necessary?
 |
| |
|
|
| Why do they need to do an appraisal? – Part 2 |
| |
We have discussed why it is necessary for a lender
to obtain a formal appraisal of a property,
and that this is being done for your benefit
as well as the lender’s.  |
| |
|
|
| Whither Interest Rates? |
| |
It’s been a very interesting couple of years in
the mortgage market! You can scarcely
pick up the newspaper these days without reading
articles about record refinance volume and
near record home sales.
 |
| |
|
|
| Where are the Customers’ Yachts?
|
| |
A recent Wall Street Journal told the story of
mega-mortgage producers who made well
over $1,000,000 originating mortgages last
year.
 |
| |
|
|
| Automated Underwriting |
| |
How long did
it take to get your last mortgage loan approved?
30 days? 45days? That
has been typical performance in the mortgage
business for years. Things have changed.
 |
| |
|
|
| I Don’t Care Who I Get My Loan From |
| |
During a recent conversation with a prospective
borrower, he told me, “I don’t care who I
get my loan from. I just want the best deal
I can get.”
|
| |
|
|
| Shopping for Closing Costs |
| |
One of the enduring myths about mortgage shopping
is the idea that there is a large difference
in closing costs between one lender and another.  |
| |
|
| Liability Management |
| |
If you ask 100 people what financial planning means,
99 of them will answer you with talk about
the conservation and growth of their assets .  |
| |
|
| Capability Brown |
| |
In 18th Century England, if you wanted your estate
landscaped imaginatively, you called upon
Lancelot Brown, the leading landscape architect
of the day.  |
| |
|
Should You Have Lenders Bid for Your
Loan? |
| |
I’m sure
you’ve seen the TV ads where a bunch of mortgage
loan officers are waiting to make their presentations
to a couple of homeowners.  |
| |
|
| Taxes |
| |
The old adage is that nothing is certain except
two things, and taxes are half of them.  |
| |
|
|
| HUD’s New Rules |
| |
The mortgage industry has been anxiously awaiting
HUD’s closing cost reform package.
 |
| |
|
|
| Getting the Right Loan |
| |
In my experience,
people go through the following phases in
their economic lives:  |
| |
|
|
| Ceteris Paribus |
| |
This nifty Latin saying means “other things being
equal,” and leads me to want to talk about
how some people make a fundamental mistake
while shopping for a mortgage.  |
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| When is an Approval a Commitment? |
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The other day I received an e-mail from a lady
telling me her tale of woe. Her plight
raised the question, “What is an approval
and is it a commitment to lend?”  |
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| A New Slant on Predatory Lending |
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You have probably read about predatory lending,
where unscrupulous lenders prey on disadvantaged
borrowers.  |
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| Abusive Lending Practices |
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In a recent article I discussed one of the ways
our industry finances upfront closing costs
at an interest rate equivalent to 25%.  |
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| Down Payment Blues |
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A limiting factor for many homebuyers is the lack
of an adequate down payment. Luckily,
the mortgage industry is riding to the rescue.
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| Fire, Aim, Ready |
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This may sound funny to you, but Fire, Ready, Aim
is an accurate way of describing the way that
many people shop for a mortgage.
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| How Do I Know I Can Trust You? |
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Thousands of people talk with lenders every day,
but I’d be surprised if even one person in
100 asked, “How Do I Know I Can Trust You?”
Yet this is the most important question of
all.  |
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Closing Costs |
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A source of many horror stories in home buying
are about borrowers who get to closing and
find that the closing costs are substantially
higher than they anticipated.
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| Libenter homines id quod volunt credunt |
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I am not a
Latin scholar, but I love quotes and I found
this jewel from Julius Caesar:
Men gladly
believe that which they wish for.
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